Wednesday, March 25, 2009

The Contenders

I've done a little research on the No.2 seed vs. No. 3 seed games in the NCAA tournament this week, and I've made my predictions. I should have crunched these numbers before I picked my bracket. By my calculations, the Big East Conference continues its run:

Tomorrow's match-ups:
#2 Duke
Starters' experience: 3 Jr, 1 Soph, 1 Fr
Rebounds per game: 39.4
Points per game: 78.0
Free throw percentage: 72.3%
2009 record: 30-6
All-time NCAA tournament record: 86-29
VERSUS
#3 Villanova
Starters' experience: 3 Sr, 2 Jr
Rebounds per game: 41.1
Points per game: 76.5
Free throw percentage: 74.2%
2009 record: 28-7
All-time NCAA tournament record: 44-29
Edge: Wildcats - better shooters from the perimeter, the line, and overall; 'Nova has been to Sweet Sixteen 4 out of the last 5 years

#2 Memphis
Starters' experience: 2 Sr, 2 Jr, 1 Fr
Rebounds per game: 42.7
Points per game: 74.1
Free throw percentage: 69.6%
2009 record: 33-3
All-time NCAA tournament record: 30-21
VERSUS
#3 Missouri
Starters' experience: 3 Sr, 2 Jr
Rebounds per game: 39.5
Points per game: 81.1
Free throw percentage: 66.8%
2009 record: 30-6
All-time NCAA tournament record: 18-21
Edge: Memphis - wins battle of the Tigers due to size and defensive toughness; Memphis has more wins in the last four years (137) than any team in history

Friday's match-ups:
#2 Oklahoma
Starters' experience: 2 Sr, 1 Jr, 1 Soph, 1 Fr
Rebounds per game: 42.0
Points per game: 79.2
Free throw percentage: 68.1%
2009 record: 29-5
All-time NCAA tournament record: 32-25
VERSUS
#3 Syracuse
Starters' experience: 3 Jr, 2 Soph
Rebounds per game: 43.5
Points per game: 81.1
Free throw percentage: 63.9%
2009 record: 28-9
All-time NCAA tournament record: 48-31
Edge: Orange - Onuaku and Jackson will have their hands full guarding the Griffin brothers, but the Sooners' guards will be overmatched; Boeheim gets win No. 800

#2 Michigan State
Starters' experience: 2 Sr, 1 Jr, 1 Soph, 1 Fr
Rebounds per game: 42.1
Points per game: 71.9
Free throw percentage: 68.6%
2009 record: 28-6
All-time NCAA tournament record: 43-21
VERSUS
#3 Kansas
Starters' experience: 1 Jr, 2 Soph, 2 Fr
Rebounds per game: 41.7
Points per game: 77.1
Free throw percentage: 72.8%
2009 record: 27-7
All-time NCAA tournament record: 82-36
Edge: Spartans - more experience and they won their last meeting against the Jayhawks 75-62; Cole Aldrich will not get a triple double in this game

1 comment:

  1. I hope you're right on all of these; what, did you just consult my brackets when choosing your winners or what?

    You know what would have been useful, opponents FG%; the stats provided don't appear to account for things like why you choose Memphis to win. :p

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